Qualification · Qualification 21
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
9.72 – 0
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
13 – 79
Prediction missed · off by 41.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 112.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 38Event APEX -6.2Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 8.39Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 7.53Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX -10.5Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX -7.77Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 7.89Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8060, 6515, 1972
12
/ 100 compatProjected
9.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8060, 6515, 1972
Auto
2.1 11%
Teleop
-15.0 0%
Endgame
32.1 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3020, 1148, 5805
11
/ 100 compatProjected
-10.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3020, 1148, 5805
Auto
2.7 0%
Teleop
-13.0 90%
Endgame
-4.1 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score9.7pts
Blue projected score-10.4pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 9.7
- Score range
- -15–25
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
112.1Season APEX286.7
2.1Auto2.7
-15Teleop-13
32.1Endgame-4.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 14 |
| teleop | 4 | 39 |
| endgame | 5 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 13 | 79 |
Result
Final score
13 – 79
Prediction missed · off by 41.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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