Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
54.96 – 54.65
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
11 – 82
Prediction missed · off by 35.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 18.2Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 11.58Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 25.18Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 446.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 0.4Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 11.78Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 42.47Rank 16Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10147, 4079, 968
53
/ 100 compatProjected
55 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10147, 4079, 968
Auto
7.8 12%
Teleop
35.3 54%
Endgame
21.8 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3647, 9084, 5025
48
/ 100 compatProjected
54.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3647, 9084, 5025
Auto
4.1 11%
Teleop
15.2 41%
Endgame
17.5 48%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score55pts
Blue projected score54.7pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.3
- Score range
- 40–70
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
183.4Season APEX446.5
7.8Auto4.1
35.3Teleop15.2
21.8Endgame17.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 12 |
| teleop | 7 | 45 |
| endgame | 4 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 11 | 82 |
Result
Final score
11 – 82
Prediction missed · off by 35.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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