Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.63 – 113.53

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.2 ±12.2

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 34.86Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4160The RoBucs

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 41.79Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 19.98Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.9 ±11.2

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -0.39Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 77.89Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2710JetStream

Season APEX 101Event APEX 36.03Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 702, 4160, 9452

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 702, 4160, 9452

Auto

14.0 19%

Teleop

43.2 58%

Endgame

17.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9772, 8, 2710

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9772, 8, 2710

Auto

19.3 17%

Teleop

56.7 51%

Endgame

35.7 32%

Strengths

· 8 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.6pts

Blue projected score113.5pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.9
Score range: 84–127
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 74.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.2Season APEX457.9

14Auto19.3

43.2Teleop56.7

17.7Endgame35.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	16
teleop	105	96
endgame	35	42
foul	0	25
total	154	179

Result

Final score

154 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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