Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.89 – 89.18

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 26 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.4 ±13.9

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 6.64Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 10.94Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1972Searing Engineering

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 34.31Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.8 ±12.8

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 40.41Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2485Overclocked

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 30.84Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 17.93Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3863, 7327, 1972

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3863, 7327, 1972

Auto

-0.8 0%

Teleop

5.9 11%

Endgame

47.7 90%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6515, 2485, 3328

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6515, 2485, 3328

Auto

-1.0 0%

Teleop

50.5 69%

Endgame

24.2 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score89.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.3
Score range: 38–103
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 89 vs event baseline 76.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.4Season APEX208.8

-0.8Auto-1

5.9Teleop50.5

47.7Endgame24.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	5
teleop	19	37
endgame	11	15
foul	0	0
total	32	57

Result

Final score

32 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 26 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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