Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.02 – 34.07

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.1 ±11.7

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX 17.56Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 82.29Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4079Quantum Leap

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX -3.83Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±13.9

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 17.12Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1159Ramona Rampage

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 11.45Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 5.5Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8060, 5817, 4079

/ 100 compat

Projected

96 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8060, 5817, 4079

Auto

11.9 13%

Teleop

50.0 54%

Endgame

29.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9772, 1159, 3863

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9772, 1159, 3863

Auto

0.3 1%

Teleop

15.1 56%

Endgame

11.5 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96pts

Blue projected score34.1pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62
Score range: 14–116
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 89 vs event baseline 108.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.1Season APEX200.8

11.9Auto0.3

50Teleop15.1

29.9Endgame11.5

4Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	1
teleop	52	1
endgame	24	8
foul	0	0
total	79	10

Result

Final score

79 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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