Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
347.19 – 266.35
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
423 – 311
Prediction correct · off by 60.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 677.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 186.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 6.34Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 153.9Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 165.84Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 285Event APEX 98.55Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 11.7Event APEX 1.96Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2813, 4255, 3045
82
/ 100 compatProjected
347.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2813, 4255, 3045
Auto
74.1 22%
Teleop
188.9 56%
Endgame
74.4 22%
Strengths
- · 2813 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1868, 6238, 7413
76
/ 100 compatProjected
266.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1868, 6238, 7413
Auto
41.3 16%
Teleop
148.9 58%
Endgame
67.1 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score347.2pts
Blue projected score266.3pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.8
- Score range
- 232–381
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
677.3Season APEX605.3
74.1Auto41.3
188.9Teleop148.9
74.4Endgame67.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 74 |
| teleop | 226 | 163 |
| endgame | 143 | 69 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 423 | 311 |
Result
Final score
423 – 311
Prediction correct · off by 60.2 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.