CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

454.69 – 214.88

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

524 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 716 ±10.7

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -10.84Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 260.98Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 204.55Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.3 ±11.6

10059Tech On Titans

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 32.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

668The Apes of Wrath

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 85.2Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5104BreakerBots

Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 97.25Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7777, 604, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

454.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7777, 604, 581

Auto

79.1 18%

Teleop

281.8 63%

Endgame

89.1 20%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10059, 668, 5104

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10059, 668, 5104

Auto

37.4 18%

Teleop

116.8 55%

Endgame

57.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score454.7pts

Blue projected score214.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 239.8
Score range: 181–489
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 787 vs event baseline 188.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

716Season APEX303.3

79.1Auto37.4

281.8Teleop116.8

89.1Endgame57.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	134	34
teleop	306	105
endgame	84	109
foul	0	15
total	524	263

Result

Final score

524 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.