CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.21 – 135.27

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

76 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.1 ±11.1

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 16.99Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 30.85Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6059System Overload Robotics

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 12.37Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.8 ±12.1

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 35.14Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 46.27Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2643Dark Matter

Season APEX 53.2Event APEX 53.86Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6665, 2035, 6059

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6665, 2035, 6059

Auto

15.0 30%

Teleop

26.4 53%

Endgame

8.2 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6884, 6506, 2643

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6884, 6506, 2643

Auto

17.4 14%

Teleop

54.4 44%

Endgame

51.9 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.2pts

Blue projected score135.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -75.1
Score range: 26–169
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 190.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.1Season APEX198.8

15Auto17.4

26.4Teleop54.4

8.2Endgame51.9

2Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	14
teleop	39	16
endgame	17	8
foul	0	20
total	76	58

Result

Final score

76 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 46.5 pts

Match videos

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