Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
460.79 – 73
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
427 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 34.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 716 ±10.7
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -8.94Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 263.55Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 347Event APEX 206.18Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 27.68Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 25.31Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 20.01Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7777, 604, 581
78
/ 100 compatProjected
460.8 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7777, 604, 581
Auto
74.1 16%
Teleop
289.9 64%
Endgame
90.7 20%
Strengths
- · 604 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7528, 4135, 10252
35
/ 100 compatProjected
73 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7528, 4135, 10252
Auto
14.1 22%
Teleop
27.5 42%
Endgame
23.8 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score460.8pts
Blue projected score73pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 387.8
- Score range
- 39–495
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
716Season APEX239.9
74.1Auto14.1
289.9Teleop27.5
90.7Endgame23.8
0Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 101 | 15 |
| teleop | 248 | 38 |
| endgame | 78 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 25 |
| total | 427 | 108 |
Result
Final score
427 – 108
Prediction correct · off by 34.4 pts
Match videos
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