CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

373.07 – 276.24

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

571 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 125.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 677.3 ±9.9

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 195.56Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 15.28Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 162.23Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.3 ±9.9

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 168.88Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 101.98Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX 5.38Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2813, 4255, 3045

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2813, 4255, 3045

Auto

67.5 19%

Teleop

207.4 57%

Endgame

88.1 24%

Strengths

· 2813 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1868, 6238, 7413

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1868, 6238, 7413

Auto

50.9 19%

Teleop

152.9 57%

Endgame

64.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score373.1pts

Blue projected score276.2pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.8
Score range: 240–409
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 900 vs event baseline 198.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

677.3Season APEX605.3

67.5Auto50.9

207.4Teleop152.9

88.1Endgame64.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	76
teleop	286	171
endgame	79	82
foul	95	0
total	571	329

Result

Final score

571 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 125.3 pts

Match videos

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