CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

464.21 – 359.1

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

465 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 716 ±10.7

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -8.37Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 264.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 208.1Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 677.3 ±9.9

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 191.18Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 10.18Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 157.74Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7777, 604, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

464.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7777, 604, 581

Auto

87.5 19%

Teleop

284.7 62%

Endgame

88.0 19%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2813, 4255, 3045

/ 100 compat

Projected

359.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2813, 4255, 3045

Auto

69.6 20%

Teleop

194.7 56%

Endgame

85.6 24%

Strengths

· 2813 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score464.2pts

Blue projected score359.1pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.1
Score range: 324–499
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 928 vs event baseline 193.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

716Season APEX677.3

87.5Auto69.6

284.7Teleop194.7

88Endgame85.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	54
teleop	269	288
endgame	130	106
foul	15	15
total	465	463

Result

Final score

465 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.