CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.99 – 77.6

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 42.2 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.9 ±12.2

7528Nuts and Bolts

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 43.35Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4135Iron Patriots

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 76.88Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 11.76Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.7 ±12.2

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -17.61Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

649MSET Fish

Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 18.33Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10059Tech On Titans

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 76.88Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7528, 4135, 4255

/ 100 compat

Projected

132 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7528, 4135, 4255

Auto

36.2 28%

Teleop

67.3 52%

Endgame

24.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7777, 649, 10059

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7777, 649, 10059

Auto

10.1 13%

Teleop

40.2 53%

Endgame

24.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132pts

Blue projected score77.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.4
Score range: 43–167
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 195.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.9Season APEX187.7

36.2Auto10.1

67.3Teleop40.2

24.7Endgame24.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	29
teleop	31	12
endgame	13	20
foul	5	35
total	66	96

Result

Final score

66 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 42.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.