CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.39 – 444.84

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 650

Prediction correct · off by 106.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.1 ±13.3

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 34.73Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7528Nuts and Bolts

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 30.12Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -7.46Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 778.3 ±9.3

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 174.05Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 191.07Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5104BreakerBots

Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 79.72Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2035, 7528, 7777

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2035, 7528, 7777

Auto

11.3 24%

Teleop

25.4 55%

Endgame

9.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2813, 581, 5104

/ 100 compat

Projected

444.8 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2813, 581, 5104

Auto

67.3 15%

Teleop

258.8 59%

Endgame

114.5 26%

Strengths

· 581 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.4pts

Blue projected score444.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -387.4
Score range: 23–479
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 700 vs event baseline 188.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.1Season APEX778.3

11.3Auto67.3

25.4Teleop258.8

9.6Endgame114.5

7Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	85
teleop	15	404
endgame	11	161
foul	10	0
total	50	650

Result

Final score

50 – 650

Prediction correct · off by 106.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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