CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.73 – 228.39

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 9.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 300.8 ±11.1

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 16.78Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6059System Overload Robotics

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 12.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4171BayBots

Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 10.41Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.2 ±11.1

10059Tech On Titans

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 31.12Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 174.18Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10252Mecha Lions

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 23.09Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6665, 6059, 4171

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6665, 6059, 4171

Auto

18.1 55%

Teleop

10.7 33%

Endgame

3.9 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10059, 1868, 10252

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10059, 1868, 10252

Auto

27.0 12%

Teleop

126.1 57%

Endgame

67.5 31%

Strengths

· 1868 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.7pts

Blue projected score228.4pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -188.7
Score range: 6–262
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 187.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300.8Season APEX407.2

18.1Auto27

10.7Teleop126.1

3.9Endgame67.5

0Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	41
teleop	27	118
endgame	3	65
foul	15	0
total	55	224

Result

Final score

55 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 9.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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