CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.18 – 338.89

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.8 ±12.1

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 19.75Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 8.44Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5760The Marinators

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 14.99Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 568.8 ±9.8

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 182.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

649MSET Fish

Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 65.22Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5104BreakerBots

Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 91.18Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6884, 4255, 5760

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6884, 4255, 5760

Auto

20.0 51%

Teleop

16.3 41%

Endgame

3.1 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1868, 649, 5104

/ 100 compat

Projected

338.9 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1868, 649, 5104

Auto

45.8 14%

Teleop

184.0 55%

Endgame

104.1 31%

Strengths

· 1868 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.2pts

Blue projected score338.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -295.7
Score range: 10–372
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 184.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.8Season APEX568.8

20Auto45.8

16.3Teleop184

3.1Endgame104.1

40Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	39
teleop	28	144
endgame	16	78
foul	5	15
total	59	276

Result

Final score

59 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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