CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.94 – 122.67

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.3 ±13.3

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX 16.14Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -10.09Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7528Nuts and Bolts

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 34.89Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 516.7 ±10.7

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 25.96Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11247Alisal High School Robotics Team

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -0.88Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 97.59Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7413, 7777, 7528

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7413, 7777, 7528

Auto

24.6 70%

Teleop

8.7 25%

Endgame

1.7 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6665, 11247, 6238

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6665, 11247, 6238

Auto

23.5 22%

Teleop

58.3 55%

Endgame

23.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.9pts

Blue projected score122.7pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.7
Score range: 7–157
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 127 vs event baseline 187.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.3Season APEX516.7

24.6Auto23.5

8.7Teleop58.3

1.7Endgame23.4

0Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	28
teleop	25	46
endgame	6	19
foul	0	0
total	34	93

Result

Final score

34 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.