CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.48 – 106.53

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.6 ±11.6

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 39.93Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5760The Marinators

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 13.94Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 18.61Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.2 ±11.1

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 20.43Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 48.31Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10252Mecha Lions

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 37.79Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6506, 5760, 10339

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6506, 5760, 10339

Auto

13.2 19%

Teleop

36.3 53%

Endgame

19.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6884, 6665, 10252

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6884, 6665, 10252

Auto

18.8 20%

Teleop

49.5 53%

Endgame

25.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.5pts

Blue projected score106.5pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34
Score range: 38–141
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 147 vs event baseline 188.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.6Season APEX276.2

13.2Auto18.8

36.3Teleop49.5

19.1Endgame25.1

0Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	17
teleop	6	50
endgame	10	27
foul	0	20
total	33	114

Result

Final score

33 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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