CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.03 – 301.63

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

276 – 433

Prediction correct · off by 173.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 300.8 ±14.4

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 8.58Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5104BreakerBots

Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 59.68Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -7.23Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 630.3 ±9.9

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX -21.58Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 172.73Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 150.48Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2854, 5104, 6410

/ 100 compat

Projected

61 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2854, 5104, 6410

Auto

5.6 10%

Teleop

31.1 55%

Endgame

19.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4255, 1868, 2813

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4255, 1868, 2813

Auto

38.5 13%

Teleop

173.3 58%

Endgame

85.2 29%

Strengths

· 1868 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61pts

Blue projected score301.6pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -240.6
Score range: 28–335
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 709 vs event baseline 183.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300.8Season APEX630.3

5.6Auto38.5

31.1Teleop173.3

19.6Endgame85.2

131Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	58
teleop	127	214
endgame	109	146
foul	5	15
total	276	433

Result

Final score

276 – 433

Prediction correct · off by 173.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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