CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

199.52 – 142.01

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 209

Prediction missed · off by 68.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.8 ±11.1

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 139.7Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX -11.98Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10252Mecha Lions

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 71.8Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.9 ±14

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 145.16Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 14.14Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -17.29Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6238, 4255, 10252

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6238, 4255, 10252

Auto

34.2 18%

Teleop

109.2 59%

Endgame

42.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2813, 2035, 6410

/ 100 compat

Projected

142 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2813, 2035, 6410

Auto

25.9 20%

Teleop

61.9 47%

Endgame

44.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score199.5pts

Blue projected score142pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.5
Score range: 110–232
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 180.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.8Season APEX361.9

34.2Auto25.9

109.2Teleop61.9

42.8Endgame44.9

96Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	39
teleop	95	145
endgame	16	25
foul	5	0
total	129	209

Result

Final score

129 – 209

Prediction missed · off by 68.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.