CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

12.93 – 317.6

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 446

Prediction correct · off by 70.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 125.1 ±15.3

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -7.91Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX 15.93Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4171BayBots

Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 4.91Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 697.8 ±9.9

5760The Marinators

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 9.85Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 103.34Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 204.41Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7777, 6410, 4171

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7777, 6410, 4171

Auto

11.5 100%

Teleop

-11.7 0%

Endgame

10.8 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5760, 6238, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.6 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5760, 6238, 581

Auto

62.4 20%

Teleop

189.7 61%

Endgame

60.5 19%

Strengths

· 581 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score12.9pts

Blue projected score317.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -304.7
Score range: -25–356
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 472 vs event baseline 208.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

125.1Season APEX697.8

11.5Auto62.4

-11.7Teleop189.7

10.8Endgame60.5

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	54
teleop	3	290
endgame	2	102
foul	5	0
total	26	446

Result

Final score

26 – 446

Prediction correct · off by 70.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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