CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.43 – 267.82

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

169 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 430.5 ±14.5

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -24.77Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7528Nuts and Bolts

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 8.95Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 179.25Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 506.8 ±10.5

6059System Overload Robotics

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 20.3Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4135Iron Patriots

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 37.99Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 209.53Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6410, 7528, 1868

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6410, 7528, 1868

Auto

32.6 21%

Teleop

84.3 55%

Endgame

36.5 24%

Strengths

· 1868 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6059, 4135, 604

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6059, 4135, 604

Auto

34.5 13%

Teleop

167.6 61%

Endgame

70.7 26%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.4pts

Blue projected score267.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.4
Score range: 131–300
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 491 vs event baseline 179.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

430.5Season APEX506.8

32.6Auto34.5

84.3Teleop167.6

36.5Endgame70.7

38Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	39
teleop	50	210
endgame	81	58
foul	10	15
total	169	322

Result

Final score

169 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 29.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.