CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.63 – 259.32

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 78.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.9 ±12.1

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 7.72Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 24.53Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX -15.62Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.4 ±11.7

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 172.67Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 49.98Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 36.67Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2854, 6506, 7413

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2854, 6506, 7413

Auto

17.4 100%

Teleop

-14.9 0%

Endgame

10.2 80%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 581, 6884, 7777

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 581, 6884, 7777

Auto

31.6 13%

Teleop

159.3 64%

Endgame

58.9 24%

Strengths

· 581 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score16.6pts

Blue projected score259.3pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -242.7
Score range: -16–292
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 183.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.9Season APEX431.4

17.4Auto31.6

-14.9Teleop159.3

10.2Endgame58.9

91Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	39
teleop	54	127
endgame	30	14
foul	15	15
total	109	195

Result

Final score

109 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 78.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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