CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.31 – 387.85

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 588

Prediction correct · off by 132.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 111.3 ±12.1

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX -24.02Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 41.08Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 15.25Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 742.4 ±9.9

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 138.25Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 167.42Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

668The Apes of Wrath

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 82.18Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7413, 6884, 2035

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7413, 6884, 2035

Auto

31.2 99%

Teleop

-0.1 0%

Endgame

0.5 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1868, 604, 668

/ 100 compat

Projected

387.8 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1868, 604, 668

Auto

47.0 12%

Teleop

251.4 66%

Endgame

83.8 22%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.3pts

Blue projected score387.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -355.5
Score range: 0–420
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 685 vs event baseline 177.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

111.3Season APEX742.4

31.2Auto47

-0.1Teleop251.4

0.5Endgame83.8

104Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	91
teleop	50	311
endgame	29	181
foul	0	5
total	97	588

Result

Final score

97 – 588

Prediction correct · off by 132.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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