CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

246.69 – 403.53

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

216 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.9 ±11.1

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 170.14Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2643Dark Matter

Season APEX 53.2Event APEX 47Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 29.55Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 717.7 ±10.7

7528Nuts and Bolts

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 29.58Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 203.9Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 170.05Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1868, 2643, 6884

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1868, 2643, 6884

Auto

34.0 15%

Teleop

122.2 52%

Endgame

77.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7528, 2813, 3045

/ 100 compat

Projected

403.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7528, 2813, 3045

Auto

80.8 21%

Teleop

212.4 55%

Endgame

91.3 24%

Strengths

· 2813 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score246.7pts

Blue projected score403.5pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -156.8
Score range: 209–442
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 551 vs event baseline 208.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.9Season APEX717.7

34Auto80.8

122.2Teleop212.4

77Endgame91.3

54Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	113
teleop	86	172
endgame	86	45
foul	10	5
total	216	335

Result

Final score

216 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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