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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

270.45 – 211.19

68%32%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

244 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.7 ±10.5
5104BreakerBots
B
Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 37.48Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6238Popcorn Penguins
A
Season APEX 285Event APEX 185.33Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4171BayBots
D
Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 47.64Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.3 ±11.6
6506Steel Boot Robotics
C
Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 34.47Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
668The Apes of Wrath
C
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 93.31Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
4135Iron Patriots
C
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 83.41Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5104, 6238, 4171
77
/ 100 compat
Projected
270.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5104, 6238, 4171
Auto
29.5 11%
Teleop
183.1 65%
Endgame
67.0 24%
Strengths
  • · 6238 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6506, 668, 4135
68
/ 100 compat
Projected
211.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6506, 668, 4135
Auto
24.5 12%
Teleop
105.7 51%
Endgame
78.4 38%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score270.5pts
Blue projected score211.2pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
59.3
Score range
178–303
Upset likelihood
32%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 181.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

494.7Season APEX299.3
29.5Auto24.5
183.1Teleop105.7
67Endgame78.4
47Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5224
teleop11730
endgame7576
foul05
total244135

Result

Final score

244 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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