CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.37 – 107.56

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

488 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 159.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 713.8 ±9.3

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 109.34Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 13.72Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 127.31Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147 ±12.7

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX -13.55Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7777Septobots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 53.6Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5760The Marinators

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 67.51Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 604, 10339, 2813

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 604, 10339, 2813

Auto

35.9 14%

Teleop

161.3 63%

Endgame

58.2 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4255, 7777, 5760

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4255, 7777, 5760

Auto

23.7 25%

Teleop

50.6 54%

Endgame

20.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score250.4pts

Blue projected score107.6pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.8
Score range: 76–282
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 515 vs event baseline 177.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

713.8Season APEX147

35.9Auto23.7

161.3Teleop50.6

58.2Endgame20

96Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	12
teleop	271	9
endgame	139	6
foul	35	0
total	488	27

Result

Final score

488 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 159.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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