CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.12 – 81.61

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 709.8 ±9.9

4171BayBots

Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 58.42Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 132.05Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 142.65Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.6 ±11.1

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX -2.94Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10059Tech On Titans

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 22.69Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 61.86Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4171, 1868, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4171, 1868, 581

Auto

48.9 14%

Teleop

196.8 57%

Endgame

96.6 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7413, 10059, 6665

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7413, 10059, 6665

Auto

31.7 56%

Teleop

2.4 4%

Endgame

22.5 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score333.1pts

Blue projected score81.6pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 251.5
Score range: 49–366
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 185.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

709.8Season APEX235.6

48.9Auto31.7

196.8Teleop2.4

96.6Endgame22.5

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	17
teleop	229	6
endgame	66	18
foul	5	10
total	329	51

Result

Final score

329 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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