CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.59 – 115.13

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

61 – 19

Prediction missed · off by 71.9 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.6 ±11.1

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 64.9Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4255Robodores

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX -5.33Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 49.02Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.3 ±12.2

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX -2.75Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10059Tech On Titans

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 89.53Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7528Nuts and Bolts

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 28.35Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6665, 4255, 2035

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6665, 4255, 2035

Auto

20.3 20%

Teleop

47.8 47%

Endgame

32.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10339, 10059, 7528

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10339, 10059, 7528

Auto

24.1 24%

Teleop

49.6 48%

Endgame

28.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.6pts

Blue projected score115.1pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.5
Score range: 74–150
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 196.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.6Season APEX238.3

20.3Auto24.1

47.8Teleop49.6

32.8Endgame28.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	15
teleop	21	4
endgame	12	0
foul	15	0
total	61	19

Result

Final score

61 – 19

Prediction missed · off by 71.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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