CA District Pinnacles Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

309.83 – 43.06

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

386 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 92.1 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 690.1 ±9.9

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 133.88Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 52.98Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 122.97Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.4 ±12.7

11247Alisal High School Robotics Team

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 22.95Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX -30.48Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4171BayBots

Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 50.59Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6238, 6506, 1868

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6238, 6506, 1868

Auto

33.8 11%

Teleop

160.3 54%

Endgame

103.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11247, 2854, 4171

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11247, 2854, 4171

Auto

12.1 35%

Teleop

11.4 33%

Endgame

10.8 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.71 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score309.8pts

Blue projected score43.1pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 266.8
Score range: 9–344
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 537 vs event baseline 189.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

690.1Season APEX219.4

33.8Auto12.1

160.3Teleop11.4

103.6Endgame10.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	23
teleop	257	79
endgame	90	44
foul	0	5
total	386	151

Result

Final score

386 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 92.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.