Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
136.14 – 162.92
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
134 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 33.88Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133Event APEX 57.76Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 44.5Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 27.38Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 74.47Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135Event APEX 61.07Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7447, 6695, 4141
51
/ 100 compatProjected
136.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7447, 6695, 4141
Auto
22.1 16%
Teleop
79.1 57%
Endgame
37.8 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2658, 5137, 3408
57
/ 100 compatProjected
162.9 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2658, 5137, 3408
Auto
24.6 16%
Teleop
90.0 59%
Endgame
38.8 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score136.1pts
Blue projected score162.9pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.8
- Score range
- 104–195
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
251.2Season APEX381.9
22.1Auto24.6
79.1Teleop90
37.8Endgame38.8
38Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 24 |
| teleop | 69 | 96 |
| endgame | 23 | 83 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 134 | 203 |
Result
Final score
134 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts
Match videos
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