Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
111.36 – 141.88
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
50 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 52.1 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.7 ±16.7
Season APEX 43Event APEX 32Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 69.04Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 10.32Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 79Event APEX 48.45Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 61.43Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 32Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10336, 6220, 4619
53
/ 100 compatProjected
111.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10336, 6220, 4619
Auto
18.5 17%
Teleop
67.1 60%
Endgame
26.3 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3952, 5857, 5137
64
/ 100 compatProjected
141.9 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3952, 5857, 5137
Auto
30.7 22%
Teleop
71.1 52%
Endgame
35.6 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score111.4pts
Blue projected score141.9pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.5
- Score range
- 80–173
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
236.7Season APEX290.2
18.5Auto30.7
67.1Teleop71.1
26.3Endgame35.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 24 |
| teleop | 27 | 33 |
| endgame | 4 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 50 | 99 |
Result
Final score
50 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 52.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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