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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
CA District Orange County Event

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.6 – 32.29

85%15%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

161 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.3 ±10.4
3408cyberCubs
B
Season APEX 135Event APEX 66.43Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6695GalvaKnights
C
Season APEX 133Event APEX 51.64Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6220The Golden Griffins
C
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 52.53Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.1 ±14.9
10586Unearthed
D
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 3.62Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5835Sage Hill Robotics
D
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX -2.55Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
3295STEMdroids
D
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 31.22Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3408, 6695, 6220
55
/ 100 compat
Projected
170.6 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3408, 6695, 6220
Auto
19.2 12%
Teleop
114.1 69%
Endgame
32.2 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10586, 5835, 3295
16
/ 100 compat
Projected
32.3 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10586, 5835, 3295
Auto
21.4 58%
Teleop
10.6 29%
Endgame
4.8 13%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score170.6pts
Blue projected score32.3pts
Red win probability85%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
138.3
Score range
1–202
Upset likelihood
15%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 174.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.3Season APEX190.1
19.2Auto21.4
114.1Teleop10.6
32.2Endgame4.8
0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2414
teleop12513
endgame125
foul05
total16137

Result

Final score

161 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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