Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
72.23 – 100.66
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
68 – 25
Prediction missed · off by 39.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 170 ±14.8
Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 21.63Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 11.13Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 42.5Event APEX 39.47Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 135Event APEX 72.12Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 19.61Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 8.93Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7447, 4619, 4984
34
/ 100 compatProjected
72.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7447, 4619, 4984
Auto
16.2 21%
Teleop
30.1 40%
Endgame
29.9 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3408, 6072, 6885
36
/ 100 compatProjected
100.7 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3408, 6072, 6885
Auto
3.0 4%
Teleop
62.8 74%
Endgame
19.5 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score72.2pts
Blue projected score100.7pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -28.4
- Score range
- 41–132
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
170Season APEX224.7
16.2Auto3
30.1Teleop62.8
29.9Endgame19.5
42Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 15 |
| teleop | 22 | 5 |
| endgame | 9 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 68 | 25 |
Result
Final score
68 – 25
Prediction missed · off by 39.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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