Qualification · Qualification 65
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
12.69 – 402.36
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
93 – 508
Prediction correct · off by 93 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 71.4Event APEX -2.54Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90Event APEX 18.28Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX -3.05Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 616.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 39.76Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 44.63Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 317.97Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5514, 3309, 3020
3
/ 100 compatProjected
12.7 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5514, 3309, 3020
Auto
6.9 92%
Teleop
-9.4 0%
Endgame
10.0 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9271, 6220, 4414
80
/ 100 compatProjected
402.4 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9271, 6220, 4414
Auto
74.2 19%
Teleop
231.2 59%
Endgame
86.4 22%
Strengths
- · 4414 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score12.7pts
Blue projected score402.4pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -389.7
- Score range
- -18–433
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
214.2Season APEX616.8
6.9Auto74.2
-9.4Teleop231.2
10Endgame86.4
40Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 83 |
| teleop | 33 | 301 |
| endgame | 29 | 124 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 93 | 508 |
Result
Final score
93 – 508
Prediction correct · off by 93 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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