Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

269.15 – 67.97

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

428 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 94.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.9 ±13.5

3295STEMdroids

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 26Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 26.01Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 217.14Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176 ±13.3

9730Metal Maniacs

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 24.19Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 21.52Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5857Walnut Valley Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 22.26Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3295, 7157, 3476

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3295, 7157, 3476

Auto

57.6 21%

Teleop

151.3 56%

Endgame

60.9 23%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9730, 7447, 5857

/ 100 compat

Projected

68 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9730, 7447, 5857

Auto

12.8 28%

Teleop

15.9 35%

Endgame

16.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score269.2pts

Blue projected score68pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 201.2
Score range: 37–300
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 527 vs event baseline 171.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.9Season APEX176

57.6Auto12.8

151.3Teleop15.9

60.9Endgame16.9

0Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	22
teleop	244	43
endgame	101	34
foul	0	0
total	428	99

Result

Final score

428 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 94.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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