Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

97.11 – 65.87

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 8.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.2 ±11

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 39.49Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 33.15Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7042Poly Rabbotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 24.47Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.8 ±11.7

5805SMbly Required

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 47.82Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5514MavBots

Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 15.75Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 2.3Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7157, 7447, 7042

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7157, 7447, 7042

Auto

33.5 35%

Teleop

39.9 42%

Endgame

21.5 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5805, 5514, 10586

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5805, 5514, 10586

Auto

27.1 44%

Teleop

23.5 38%

Endgame

11.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.1pts

Blue projected score65.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.2
Score range: 32–131
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 190.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.2Season APEX262.8

33.5Auto27.1

39.9Teleop23.5

21.5Endgame11.1

74Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	18
teleop	66	37
endgame	7	16
foul	5	0
total	109	71

Result

Final score

109 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 8.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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