Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.19 – 309.43

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232 ±12.2

4984Bullseye

Season APEX 42.5Event APEX 23.61Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5835Sage Hill Robotics

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 4.89Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6695GalvaKnights

Season APEX 133Event APEX 46.69Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.4 ±10.5

9271Cyber Porpoises

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 28.4Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 247.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2658Σ-Motion

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 33.82Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4984, 5835, 6695

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4984, 5835, 6695

Auto

11.9 14%

Teleop

48.1 58%

Endgame

22.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9271, 3476, 2658

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9271, 3476, 2658

Auto

56.6 19%

Teleop

173.6 57%

Endgame

72.7 24%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.2pts

Blue projected score309.4pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -234.2
Score range: 45–339
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 437 vs event baseline 166.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232Season APEX511.4

11.9Auto56.6

48.1Teleop173.6

22.6Endgame72.7

71Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	52
teleop	54	213
endgame	40	64
foul	0	0
total	108	329

Result

Final score

108 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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