Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
18.27 – 68.45
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
160 – 113
Prediction missed · off by 93.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 22.72Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 8.73Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX -13.18Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230 ±15.3
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 11.22Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 26.48Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 30.75Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4276, 5500, 6885
8
/ 100 compatProjected
18.3 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4276, 5500, 6885
Auto
9.9 55%
Teleop
22.9 100%
Endgame
-14.8 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4619, 9271, 5857
41
/ 100 compatProjected
68.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4619, 9271, 5857
Auto
15.7 26%
Teleop
31.2 51%
Endgame
14.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score18.3pts
Blue projected score68.5pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -50.2
- Score range
- -12–98
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
127.9Season APEX230
9.9Auto15.7
22.9Teleop31.2
-14.8Endgame14.2
68Consistency24
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 15 |
| teleop | 86 | 72 |
| endgame | 65 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 160 | 113 |
Result
Final score
160 – 113
Prediction missed · off by 93.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.