Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

308.72 – 108.44

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

354 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.9 ±9.8

3408cyberCubs

Season APEX 135Event APEX 73.92Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 239.41Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -4.61Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.9 ±11

8891Wild Raccoons

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 15.85Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6220The Golden Griffins

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 51.41Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3309Friarbots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 41.18Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3408, 3476, 10586

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3408, 3476, 10586

Auto

49.0 16%

Teleop

173.0 57%

Endgame

82.4 27%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8891, 6220, 3309

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8891, 6220, 3309

Auto

23.5 22%

Teleop

34.7 33%

Endgame

46.9 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score308.7pts

Blue projected score108.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 200.3
Score range: 78–339
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 165.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.9Season APEX241.9

49Auto23.5

173Teleop34.7

82.4Endgame46.9

0Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	25
teleop	207	64
endgame	37	10
foul	15	0
total	354	99

Result

Final score

354 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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