Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.31 – 57.27

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 99

Prediction missed · off by 76 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.1 ±11.7

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 27.46Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5835Sage Hill Robotics

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 22.84Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 138.01Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.1 ±13.9

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 17.49Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10336BHA Tigers

Season APEX 43Event APEX -12.17Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5474Clairemonster

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 51.95Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7447, 5835, 4322

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7447, 5835, 4322

Auto

24.3 13%

Teleop

105.8 58%

Endgame

53.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7157, 10336, 5474

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7157, 10336, 5474

Auto

37.1 60%

Teleop

25.2 41%

Endgame

-0.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score188.3pts

Blue projected score57.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 131
Score range: 27–218
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 166.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.1Season APEX321.1

24.3Auto37.1

105.8Teleop25.2

53.7Endgame-0.9

58Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	27
teleop	28	65
endgame	20	7
foul	0	0
total	78	99

Result

Final score

78 – 99

Prediction missed · off by 76 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.