Qualification · Qualification 44
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
249.12 – 52.21
92%8%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
450 – 127
Prediction correct · off by 137.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 56.29Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 101.13Rank 4Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.7Event APEX 91.7Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 30.26Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42.4Event APEX -13.52Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133Event APEX 35.47Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5137, 5199, 115
80
/ 100 compatProjected
249.1 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5137, 5199, 115
Auto
41.3 16%
Teleop
150.4 59%
Endgame
62.6 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5514, 8521, 6695
29
/ 100 compatProjected
52.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5514, 8521, 6695
Auto
5.7 11%
Teleop
37.2 73%
Endgame
8.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score249.1pts
Blue projected score52.2pts
Red win probability92%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 196.9
- Score range
- 23–278
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
566.6Season APEX246.8
41.3Auto5.7
150.4Teleop37.2
62.6Endgame8
0Consistency78
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 71 | 14 |
| teleop | 283 | 80 |
| endgame | 91 | 33 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 450 | 127 |
Result
Final score
450 – 127
Prediction correct · off by 137.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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