Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
97.25 – 104.1
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
154 – 66
Prediction missed · off by 47.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 68.96Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 27.88Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 0.41Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.1 ±14.9
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 62.95Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67Event APEX 39.27Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 1.88Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4141, 9271, 5500
47
/ 100 compatProjected
97.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4141, 9271, 5500
Auto
24.9 25%
Teleop
46.6 46%
Endgame
29.9 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6220, 5857, 3295
48
/ 100 compatProjected
104.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6220, 5857, 3295
Auto
18.9 22%
Teleop
40.0 48%
Endgame
25.2 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score97.2pts
Blue projected score104.1pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -6.8
- Score range
- 67–134
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
188.2Season APEX236.1
24.9Auto18.9
46.6Teleop40
29.9Endgame25.2
35Consistency39
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 10 |
| teleop | 105 | 48 |
| endgame | 28 | 8 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 154 | 66 |
Result
Final score
154 – 66
Prediction missed · off by 47.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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