Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.51 – 355.63

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.4 ±15.3

4919Team Ronin

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 22.63Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10336BHA Tigers

Season APEX 43Event APEX -6.75Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7447Rōnin Robotics

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 31.63Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 614.8 ±9.8

7042Poly Rabbotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 13.34Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 336.46Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 5.83Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4919, 10336, 7447

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4919, 10336, 7447

Auto

41.8 93%

Teleop

-10.1 0%

Endgame

13.1 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7042, 4414, 10586

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7042, 4414, 10586

Auto

78.6 23%

Teleop

180.7 52%

Endgame

86.3 25%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.5pts

Blue projected score355.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -308.1
Score range: 19–385
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 160.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.4Season APEX614.8

41.8Auto78.6

-10.1Teleop180.7

13.1Endgame86.3

75Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	90
teleop	20	171
endgame	5	69
foul	0	0
total	36	330

Result

Final score

36 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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