Qualification · Qualification 39
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
27.93 – 109.34
27%73%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
76 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 26.14Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 42.4Event APEX -16.77Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 18.56Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 62.76Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 35.45Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114Event APEX 11.13Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6072, 8521, 2658
28
/ 100 compatProjected
27.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6072, 8521, 2658
Auto
5.8 18%
Teleop
18.4 57%
Endgame
7.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5474, 5514, 7157
43
/ 100 compatProjected
109.3 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5474, 5514, 7157
Auto
11.9 11%
Teleop
76.5 71%
Endgame
18.9 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score27.9pts
Blue projected score109.3pts
Red win probability27%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -81.4
- Score range
- -1–138
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
185.5Season APEX349.5
5.8Auto11.9
18.4Teleop76.5
7.9Endgame18.9
44Consistency65
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 30 |
| teleop | 28 | 48 |
| endgame | 27 | 21 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 76 | 99 |
Result
Final score
76 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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