Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.78 – 183.76

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.2 ±13.3

4276Surf City Vikings

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 24.64Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8891Wild Raccoons

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 20.83Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5835Sage Hill Robotics

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 30.31Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.1 ±11.7

9730Metal Maniacs

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 37.96Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 99.96Rank 4Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4984Bullseye

Season APEX 42.5Event APEX 45.84Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4276, 8891, 5835

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4276, 8891, 5835

Auto

32.8 44%

Teleop

17.8 24%

Endgame

24.1 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9730, 5199, 4984

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9730, 5199, 4984

Auto

44.1 25%

Teleop

89.4 51%

Endgame

42.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.8pts

Blue projected score183.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108
Score range: 47–213
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 163.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138.2Season APEX379.1

32.8Auto44.1

17.8Teleop89.4

24.1Endgame42.3

22Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	36
teleop	17	84
endgame	7	51
foul	0	0
total	34	171

Result

Final score

34 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.