Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.76 – 56.75

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 58.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.9 ±12.4

8521CyberLions

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX -29.29Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5857Walnut Valley Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 24.7Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 129.35Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.1 ±12.2

9271Cyber Porpoises

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 27.49Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7042Poly Rabbotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 5.41Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6072Triton Tech 6072

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 23.85Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8521, 5857, 4322

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8521, 5857, 4322

Auto

25.6 22%

Teleop

56.3 48%

Endgame

34.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9271, 7042, 6072

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9271, 7042, 6072

Auto

17.2 34%

Teleop

28.9 57%

Endgame

4.7 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.8pts

Blue projected score56.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68
Score range: 29–153
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 156.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.9Season APEX241.1

25.6Auto17.2

56.3Teleop28.9

34.6Endgame4.7

29Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	14
teleop	112	41
endgame	54	15
foul	20	0
total	228	70

Result

Final score

228 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 58.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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