Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
71.77 – 201.99
17%83%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
120 – 93
Prediction missed · off by 78.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 90Event APEX 32.53Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -15.46Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 54.7Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426.5 ±14.5
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 35.04Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 49.1Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 117.85Rank 4Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3309, 3295, 5474
31
/ 100 compatProjected
71.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3309, 3295, 5474
Auto
6.6 7%
Teleop
38.0 43%
Endgame
44.5 50%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4619, 5514, 5199
73
/ 100 compatProjected
202 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4619, 5514, 5199
Auto
46.7 22%
Teleop
119.5 57%
Endgame
43.5 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score71.8pts
Blue projected score202pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -130.2
- Score range
- 44–230
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
308.9Season APEX426.5
6.6Auto46.7
38Teleop119.5
44.5Endgame43.5
43Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 21 |
| teleop | 49 | 45 |
| endgame | 25 | 27 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 120 | 93 |
Result
Final score
120 – 93
Prediction missed · off by 78.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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