Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.8 – 114.24

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

83 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.9 ±14.9

10336BHA Tigers

Season APEX 43Event APEX -21.2Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6695GalvaKnights

Season APEX 133Event APEX 42.45Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9730Metal Maniacs

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 36.55Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.3 ±12.2

3020SMbld

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 42.48Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4984Bullseye

Season APEX 42.5Event APEX 54.99Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 16.77Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10336, 6695, 9730

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10336, 6695, 9730

Auto

38.7 100%

Teleop

14.2 39%

Endgame

-16.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3020, 4984, 7157

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3020, 4984, 7157

Auto

12.7 11%

Teleop

71.4 61%

Endgame

33.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.8pts

Blue projected score114.2pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.4
Score range: 29–143
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 162.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.9Season APEX209.3

38.7Auto12.7

14.2Teleop71.4

-16.4Endgame33.8

88Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	16
teleop	48	64
endgame	15	19
foul	0	0
total	83	99

Result

Final score

83 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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