Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.31 – 87.82

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 138

Prediction missed · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.6 ±12.2

7042Poly Rabbotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX -8.49Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3952Troy Robotics

Season APEX 79Event APEX 64.95Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5835Sage Hill Robotics

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 18.85Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195 ±12.8

3309Friarbots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 39.17Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9730Metal Maniacs

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 30.89Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4276Surf City Vikings

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 17.76Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7042, 3952, 5835

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7042, 3952, 5835

Auto

28.1 34%

Teleop

23.8 29%

Endgame

29.7 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3309, 9730, 4276

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3309, 9730, 4276

Auto

17.1 28%

Teleop

42.2 69%

Endgame

2.0 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.3pts

Blue projected score87.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.5
Score range: 46–117
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 277 vs event baseline 161.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.6Season APEX195

28.1Auto17.1

23.8Teleop42.2

29.7Endgame2

95Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	26
teleop	81	62
endgame	25	50
foul	0	0
total	139	138

Result

Final score

139 – 138

Prediction missed · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.