Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
83.1 – 97.86
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
281 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 113.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.3 ±11.1
Season APEX 79Event APEX 17.72Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX -8.67Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 74.05Rank 4Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX -0.75Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 23.58Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 75.03Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3952, 9271, 5199
41
/ 100 compatProjected
83.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3952, 9271, 5199
Auto
42.3 44%
Teleop
30.2 31%
Endgame
23.7 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2658, 5500, 4322
48
/ 100 compatProjected
97.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2658, 5500, 4322
Auto
13.6 13%
Teleop
73.1 72%
Endgame
15.5 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score83.1pts
Blue projected score97.9pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -14.8
- Score range
- 55–126
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
438.3Season APEX357.7
42.3Auto13.6
30.2Teleop73.1
23.7Endgame15.5
134Consistency173
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 67 | 34 |
| teleop | 160 | 47 |
| endgame | 54 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 281 | 127 |
Result
Final score
281 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 113.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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